Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 20 March 2023, Monday


	Tung-Lin Wu		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.14	1.68
	2.18	1.69
	2.19	1.7
	2.2	1.62
	2.14	1.65	Watch
	2.14	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.25)	1.66 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tung-Lin Wu
43.4%

Pavel Kotov
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tung-Lin Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tung-Lin Wu than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	0%	52.9%

Tung Lin Wu - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Wu will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Kotov will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kotov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tung-Lin Wu
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
08.03.23	Alexander Bublik - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
07.03.23	Francesco Passaro - Tung-Lin Wu	Passaro F. retired ✺
06.03.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.02.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LW?WL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
16.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
14.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
13.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Alex Lawson	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.23	Emilio Nava - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
01.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLL

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