Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 4, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Pavel Kotov		Jie Cui

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.39	2.75	Watch
	1.56	2.47
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.41	2.79	Watch
	1.39	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.39)	2.59 ↓ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
63.8%

Jie Cui
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Jie Cui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jie Cui than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Pavel Kotov - Jie Cui Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 471. Cui is ranked ATP: 342.

Kotov is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cui's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kotov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kotov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jie Cui - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.24%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Pavel Kotov - Tianhui Zhang	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Akira Santillan - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Pavel Kotov - Sanhui Shin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW
- Jie Cui
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Jie Cui - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Titouan Droguet - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Omar Jasika - Jie Cui	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Jie Cui - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

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