Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Pavel Kotov		August Holmgren

	1	2
	1.39	3.09
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.42)	2.84 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
67.1%

August Holmgren
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kotov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Pavel Kotov will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Played indoor.

Kotov is ranked ATP: 299. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 190.

Kotov has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Holmgren has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Holmgren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kotov might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Kotov will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kotov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Pavel Kotov - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Borna Gojo - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Matteo Martineau - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Jie Cui - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	August Holmgren - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	August Holmgren - Yuto Oki	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Soon Woo Kwon - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Renta Tokuda - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren	2:0

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