Match Info

Date: 10 December 2021, Friday


	Pavel Kotov		Mirza Basic

	1	2
	2	1.72	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.07	1.74	Watch
	1.98	1.71
	2.04	1.79
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.11)	1.72 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
45.8%

Mirza Basic
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mirza Basic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Pavel Kotov - Mirza Basic Predictions

Users Predictions: Pavel Kotov will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
09.12.21	Pavel Kotov - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
08.12.21	Zizou Bergs - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
02.12.21	Flavio Cobolli - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
01.12.21	Pavel Kotov - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
23.11.21	Filippo Baldi - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWL
- Mirza Basic
ATP Challenger
08.12.21	Lucas Miedler - Mirza Basic	0:2 ✺
07.12.21	Savriyan Danilov - Mirza Basic	0:2 ✺
29.11.21	Lucas Miedler - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
22.11.21	Mirza Basic - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
13.11.21	Mirza Basic - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL

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