Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Flavio Cobolli		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.52	2.48	Watch
	1.56	2.59
	1.53	2.59	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.61	Watch
	1.52	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.42)	2.53 ↓ (2.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
62.3%

Pavel Kotov
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Flavio Cobolli - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: Flavio Cobolli will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cobolli is ranked ATP: 32. Kotov is ranked ATP: 63.

Two players are playing changeable.

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cobolli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cobolli won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Alexander Bublik - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.24	Flavio Cobolli - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
13.09.24	Flavio Cobolli - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.24	Flavio Cobolli - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
29.08.24	Flavio Cobolli - Zizou Bergs	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Yi Zhou - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
23.09.24	Sumit Nagal - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Pavel Kotov - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Zizou Bergs - Pavel Kotov	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
03.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Flavio Cobolli	2:0
ATP Australian Open
16.01.24	Pavel Kotov - Flavio Cobolli	1:3
ATP Challenger
02.12.21	Flavio Cobolli - Pavel Kotov	2:1
23.08.21	Pavel Kotov - Flavio Cobolli	1:2

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