Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Zizou Bergs		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.77	2.17
	1.81	2.09	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.76	2.07	Watch
	1.78	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.93)	2.06 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
53.6%

Pavel Kotov
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zizou Bergs's performance.

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pavel Kotov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	0%	21.1%

Zizou Bergs - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: Zizou Bergs will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 85. Kotov is ranked ATP: 63.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Bergs could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bergs won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.24	Zizou Bergs - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
20.08.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Zizou Bergs - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.24	Alex Michelsen - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Zizou Bergs - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.24	Pavel Kotov - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Zachary Svajda - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.24	Matteo Berrettini - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.12.21	Zizou Bergs - Pavel Kotov	1:2
16.06.21	Pavel Kotov - Zizou Bergs	2:1
04.03.21	Pavel Kotov - Zizou Bergs	0:2

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