Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday


	Giulio Zeppieri		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.86	1.98
	1.85	1.91	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.79	1.94	Watch
	1.75	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.08)	1.98 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giulio Zeppieri
52.8%

Pavel Kotov
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giulio Zeppieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giulio Zeppieri's performance.

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pavel Kotov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giulio Zeppieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pavel Kotov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Giulio Zeppieri - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Zeppieri will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Kotov will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zeppieri: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Giulio Zeppieri will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zeppieri is ranked ATP: 334. Kotov is ranked ATP: 121.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zeppieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Tiago Pereira - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Pedro Araujo - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.25	Federico Coria - Giulio Zeppieri	Zeppieri G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWL?
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Corentin Moutet - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW

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