Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Corentin Moutet		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.47	2.45	Watch
	1.56	2.48
	1.51	2.49	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.62)	2.43 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
61.6%

Pavel Kotov
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Corentin Moutet - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: Corentin Moutet will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corentin Moutet will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 82. Kotov is ranked ATP: 121.

Two players are playing changeable.

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moutet will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moutet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Corentin Moutet - Harold Mayot	Moutet C. retired ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Ethan Quinn - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	David Goffin - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?LLWW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
01.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.05.19	Corentin Moutet - Pavel Kotov	2:1

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