Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Catania - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Pavel Lagutin		Oleksandr Ovcharenko

	1	2
	1.52	2.33	Watch
	1.49	2.45
	1.53	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.52)	2.36 ↑ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Lagutin
60.9%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Lagutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Lagutin than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Pavel Lagutin - Oleksandr Ovcharenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lagutin is ranked ATP: 410., and Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 616..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Lagutin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Lagutin is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Lagutin
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Pavel Lagutin - Ignacio Parisca	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Iliyan Radulov - Pavel Lagutin	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Pavel Lagutin - Svyatoslav Gulin	Gulin S. Retired ✺
20.09.26	Pavel Lagutin - Rares Teodor Pieleanu	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pavel Lagutin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WL?WL
- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Christian Langmo - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Pierluigi Basile	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Filip Misolic - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	Misolic F. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWL?

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