Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Pedro Boscardin Dias		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.39
	3.04	1.33	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.94	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.61)	1.38 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Boscardin Dias
32%

Elmer Moller
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Boscardin Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Boscardin Dias than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Boscardin Dias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elmer Moller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pedro Boscardin Dias - Elmer Moller Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moller (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Moller (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elmer Moller will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moller (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Boscardin Dias is ranked ATP: 258. Moller is ranked ATP: 127.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Moller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Moller is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Boscardin Dias - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.58%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Boscardin Dias
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Daniel Vallejo - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWWL
- Elmer Moller
ATP Santiago
26.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Elmer Moller - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Elmer Moller - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Dino Prizmic - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Matej Dodig - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLLW

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