Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santiago 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Elmer Moller		Roman Andres Burruchaga

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.78	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.42)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
34.6%

Roman Andres Burruchaga
65.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elmer Moller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roman Andres Burruchaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	0%	26.1%

Elmer Moller - Roman Andres Burruchaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Burruchaga will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moller: 56% – 91.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Moller (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elmer Moller will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Moller (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Burruchaga (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 121. Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 102.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Moller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Burruchaga is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Andres Burruchaga - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.69%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Elmer Moller - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Dino Prizmic - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Matej Dodig - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Elmer Moller - Chris Rodesch	Moller E. retired ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Elmer Moller - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLW?L
- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL

Elmer Moller - Roman Andres Burruchaga