Match Info

Date: 21 July 2022, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.61	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.63	2.28
	1.61	2.24
	1.7	2.29
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.58	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)	2.26 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
58.2%

Elias Ymer
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pedro Martinez Portero's performance.

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elias Ymer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pedro Martinez Portero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elias Ymer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Ymer will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Martinez Portero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Martinez Portero will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Martinez Portero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Gstaad
18.07.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.07.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
05.07.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Benjamin Hassan	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Alex Molcan	1:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL
- Elias Ymer
ATP Gstaad
19.07.22	Benoit Paire - Elias Ymer	Paire B. retired ✺
18.07.22	Corentin Moutet - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
17.07.22	Jerome Kym - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
13.07.22	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
11.07.22	Elias Ymer - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.19	Elias Ymer - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1
ATP Challenger
18.08.17	Pedro Martinez Portero - Elias Ymer	0:1

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