Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - Final

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Jan Choinski		Vit Kopriva

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.71	1.5
	2.52	1.47	Watch
			Watch
	2.53	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.03)	1.46 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
35.8%

Vit Kopriva
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.

Vit Kopriva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vit Kopriva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vit Kopriva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Jan Choinski - Vit Kopriva Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Choinski (votes: 3 - 50%). Kopriva (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Choinski (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vit Kopriva will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Choinski (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Kopriva (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 227. Kopriva is ranked ATP: 102.

Now, both players are in good form.

Kopriva might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Kopriva will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Jan Choinski - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.14%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Vit Kopriva - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.86%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Jan Choinski - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Jan Choinski - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Marko Topo - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Jan Choinski - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Jan Choinski - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL
- Vit Kopriva
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Vit Kopriva - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Vit Kopriva - Jan Choinski	1:2
12.09.23	Jan Choinski - Vit Kopriva	0:2

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