Match Info

Date: 4 October 2020, Sunday


	Pedro Sousa		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.73	2.07	Watch
	1.74	1.94
	1.81	2.05
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.82	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.8)	1.97 ↓ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Sousa
52.6%

Francisco Cerundolo
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Sousa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Pedro Sousa - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Pedro Sousa will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Sousa
ATP Challenger
03.10.20	Pedro Sousa - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
02.10.20	Pedro Sousa - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
30.09.20	Pedro Sousa - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
28.09.20	Pedro Sousa - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.09.20	Pedro Sousa - Lukas Rosol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
03.10.20	Francisco Cerundolo - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
02.10.20	Francisco Cerundolo - Maximilian Marterer	2:1 ✺
30.09.20	Brandon Nakashima - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
29.09.20	Ernesto Escobedo - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
25.09.20	Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWL

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