Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Francisco Cerundolo		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.41	3.14
	1.31	3.34	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.93	Watch
	1.37	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)	2.99 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
68.2%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Cerundolo's performance.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tomas Martin Etcheverry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tomas Martin Etcheverry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92%	0%	8%

Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: Francisco Cerundolo will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francisco Cerundolo will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 19. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 54.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 3.

Now, both players are in good form.

Etcheverry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
25.01.26	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	3:0 ✺
23.01.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Andrey Rublev	3:0 ✺
20.01.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Damir Dzumhur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
23.01.26	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	3:0 ✺
20.01.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Arthur Fery	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
31.07.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2
ATP Santiago
28.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1
ATP US Open
28.08.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:3
ATP Santiago
02.03.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1
ATP Challenger
08.08.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0
25.09.20	Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2

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