Match Info

Date: 16 July 2022, Saturday


	Pedro Sousa		Luca Nardi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.28	1.61
	2.19	1.6
	2.08	1.76
	2.1	1.67
	2.11	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 (2.14)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Sousa
43.8%

Luca Nardi
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Sousa than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Pedro Sousa - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Nardi will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sousa: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Sousa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nardi is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Sousa
ATP Bastad
12.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Sousa	2:0 ✺
11.07.22	Jaume Munar - Pedro Sousa	0:2 ✺
10.07.22	Pedro Sousa - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.07.22	Hugo Grenier - Pedro Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
20.06.22	Pedro Sousa - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWWLL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
12.07.22	Matteo Gigante - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
04.07.22	Luca Nardi - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
14.06.22	Marco Cecchinato - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
08.06.22	Luca Nardi - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
06.06.22	Gianluca Mager - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Pedro Sousa - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide