Match Info

Date: 12 July 2022, Tuesday


	Francisco Cerundolo		Pedro Sousa

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.28	3.7
	1.28	3.5
	1.3	3.88
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	3.59 ↓ (3.78)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
73.5%

Pedro Sousa
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.4%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Pedro Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Sousa than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	0%	72.2%

Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Sousa will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sousa: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sousa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sousa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cerundolo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Rafael Nadal	1:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
ATP London
16.06.22	Ryan Peniston - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
14.06.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.22	Daniel Evans - Francisco Cerundolo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL
- Pedro Sousa
ATP Bastad
11.07.22	Jaume Munar - Pedro Sousa	0:2 ✺
10.07.22	Pedro Sousa - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.07.22	Hugo Grenier - Pedro Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
20.06.22	Pedro Sousa - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.22	Jason Kubler - Pedro Sousa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.10.20	Pedro Sousa - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2

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