Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hamburg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Pedro Vives Marcos		Daniil Glinka

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.87	1.96
	2.33	1.52	Watch
	1.91	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.33)	1.74 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Vives Marcos
45.9%

Daniil Glinka
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Vives Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pedro Vives Marcos's performance.

Daniil Glinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniil Glinka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Vives Marcos than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pedro Vives Marcos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniil Glinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Pedro Vives Marcos - Daniil Glinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vives Marcos will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Glinka will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vives Marcos: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pedro Vives Marcos will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vives Marcos is ranked ATP: 517. Glinka is ranked ATP: 274.

Vives Marcos is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Glinka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Glinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Glinka could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Vives Marcos
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Denis Yevseyev - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Eero Vasa - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWW
- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
16.10.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Daniil Glinka - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Daniil Glinka - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Daniil Glinka - Aleksandr Braynin	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Daniil Glinka - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL

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