Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Daniil Glinka		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.66	2.12	Watch
	1.55	2.37	Watch
	1.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.64)	2.33 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
59.8%

Calvin Hemery
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Daniil Glinka - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniil Glinka will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniil Glinka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 287. Hemery is ranked ATP: 210.

Glinka is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hemery is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hemery may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Glinka will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.27%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Daniil Glinka - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Daniil Glinka - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Loann Massard	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Niels Visker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Calvin Hemery - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Remy Bertola - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. retired ✺
09.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
05.09.25	Luca Potenza - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Mert Naci Turker - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 L??LW

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