Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Petr Bar-Biryukov		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
			Watch
	3.00	1.36
	3	1.34	Watch
	3.51	1.27	Watch
	3.12	1.35
	2.99	1.34	Watch
	2.9	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.92)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Bar-Biryukov
30.2%

Andre Ilagan
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Bar-Biryukov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Bar-Biryukov than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Petr Bar Biryukov - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 269., and Ilagan is ranked ATP: 184..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Ilagan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Ilagan is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Bar-Biryukov - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.52%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Bar-Biryukov
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Petr Bar-Biryukov	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Jesse Delaney - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Denis Yevseyev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL
- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Bryce Nakashima - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLW

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