Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday


	Bryce Nakashima		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.46	1.48	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.39	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.18)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bryce Nakashima
39.3%

Andre Ilagan
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bryce Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bryce Nakashima than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Bryce Nakashima - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 711. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 181.

Nakashima is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Ilagan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ilagan might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Andre Ilagan - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.54%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bryce Nakashima
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Bryce Nakashima	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Bryce Nakashima - Kaylan Bigun	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.26	Jakub Vrba - Bryce Nakashima	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Bryce Nakashima - Preston Stearns	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Bryce Nakashima - Jack Anthrop	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW
- Andre Ilagan
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLWW

Bryce Nakashima - Andre Ilagan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide