Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Hugo Gaston		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
	1.62	2.20
	1.65	2.15
	1.56	2.30
	1.69	2.21
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.65	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.53)	2.38 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
60%

Andre Ilagan
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hugo Gaston - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 88. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 184.

In recent matches, Gaston has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ilagan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ilagan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gaston will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Andre Ilagan - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.85%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Jesper De Jong - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Alexei Popyrin - Hugo Gaston	Popyrin A. Retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLW?L
- Andre Ilagan
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWWW

Hugo Gaston - Andre Ilagan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide