Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Petr Brunclik		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.35	1.28
	3.6	1.32
	3.99	1.22	Watch
	3.35	1.3	Watch
	3.45	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.03)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Petr Brunclik
26.9%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Brunclik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Brunclik than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Petr Brunclik - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carreno Busta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Brunclik is ranked ATP: 436. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 123.

Brunclik has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Carreno Busta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Carreno Busta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Carreno Busta is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Carreno Busta will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Brunclik
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Luca Potenza - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Neil Oberleitner - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Petr Brunclik - Jerome Kym	Canceled ✺
29.09.25	Petr Brunclik - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Petr Brunclik - Carles Hernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WW?WW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Dali Blanch	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches