Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Martin Landaluce

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	1.98	1.89
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.9	1.83	Watch
	1.71	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.74)	1.84 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
49%

Martin Landaluce
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Martin Landaluce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Landaluce than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Pablo Carreno Busta - Martin Landaluce Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Landaluce (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 104. Landaluce is ranked ATP: 110.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Carreno Busta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carreno Busta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Challenger
17.10.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Luka Pavlovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Pierluigi Basile - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW
- Martin Landaluce
ATP Challenger
17.10.25	Martin Landaluce - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Martin Landaluce - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Martin Landaluce - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Oliver Crawford - Martin Landaluce	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Martin Landaluce	2:0

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