Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Vit Kopriva

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.85	Watch
	1.98	1.89
	2.39	1.54	Watch
	1.82	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.84)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
47.8%

Vit Kopriva
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Vit Kopriva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Vit Kopriva Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Kopriva will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carreno Busta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Kopriva (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Carreno Busta (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kopriva (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 125. Kopriva is ranked ATP: 102.

Carreno Busta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kopriva is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Carreno Busta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Vit Kopriva - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Dusan Lajovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL
- Vit Kopriva
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Vit Kopriva - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Vit Kopriva - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Vit Kopriva - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWW

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