Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:00	ESPN
Australia	11:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	01:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:00	HBO Max
Brazil	21:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	02:00	HBO Max
Canada	19:00	RDS App
Colombia	19:00	ESPN
Croatia	01:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	01:00	HBO Max
Denmark	01:00	HBO Max
Finland	02:00	HBO Max
France	01:00	HBO Max
Hungary	01:00	HBO Max
Mexico	18:00	ESPN
Moldova	02:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	01:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	01:00	HBO Max
North Macedonia	01:00	HBO Max
Norway	01:00	HBO Max
Peru	19:00	ESPN
Poland	01:00	HBO Max
Romania	02:00	HBO Max
Serbia	01:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	01:00	HBO Max
Spain	01:00	HBO Max
Sweden	01:00	HBO Max
United Kingdom	00:00	Discovery+
Usa	19:00	ESPN USA
Venezuela	20:00	ESPN


	Petra Marcinko		Tatjana Maria

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.95
	1.38	3.03	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.33)	2.94 ↓ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petra Marcinko
67.7%

Tatjana Maria
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petra Marcinko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Tatjana Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Petra Marcinko - Tatjana Maria Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Marcinko will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Maria will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marcinko is ranked WTA: 82. Maria is ranked WTA: 42.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Marcinko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marcinko is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marcinko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petra Marcinko
WTA Hobart
10.01.26	Petra Marcinko - Oksana Selekhmeteva	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Petra Marcinko - Sarah Rokusek	2:0 ✺
WTA Auckland
07.01.26	Petra Marcinko - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.12.25	Vera Zvonareva - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW
- Tatjana Maria
WTA Hobart
13.01.26	Tatjana Maria - Anna Bondar	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Tatjana Maria - Venus Williams	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
05.01.26	Tatjana Maria - Emerson Jones	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.12.25	Tatjana Maria - Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez	Reasco Gonzalez M. E. walkover ✺
02.12.25	Tatjana Maria - Irene Burillo Escorihuela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.01.25	Tatjana Maria - Petra Marcinko	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tatjana Maria
ATP Challenger
31.10.26	Tatjana Maria - Fiona Ferro	✺

Petra Marcinko - Tatjana Maria