Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday


	Peyton Stearns		Elina Svitolina

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.35	1.33	Watch
	3.38	1.34
	3.32	1.33	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.31	1.34	Watch
	3.35	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.46)	1.33 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peyton Stearns
28.1%

Elina Svitolina
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peyton Stearns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peyton Stearns's form might have worsened.

Elina Svitolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elina Svitolina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peyton Stearns than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peyton Stearns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elina Svitolina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Peyton Stearns - Elina Svitolina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Svitolina (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 19.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5 Games - Svitolina (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elina Svitolina will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elina Svitolina will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Stearns (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Svitolina (votes: 9 - 81.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stearns is ranked WTA: 42. Svitolina is ranked WTA: 14.

Now, both players are in good form.

Svitolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Svitolina is a strong favorite.

We predict that Svitolina will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peyton Stearns
WTA Roma
12.05.25	Peyton Stearns - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Madison Keys - Peyton Stearns	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Peyton Stearns - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Peyton Stearns - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
29.04.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Peyton Stearns	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWL
- Elina Svitolina
WTA Roma
12.05.25	Elina Svitolina - Danielle Collins	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Elina Svitolina - Hailey Baptiste	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Elina Svitolina - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
01.05.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW

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