Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Peyton Stearns		Solana Sierra

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.18	4.9	Watch
	1.2	5.03
	1.22	4.26	Watch
	1.2	4.5
	1.21	4.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.39)	4.7 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peyton Stearns
79.7%

Solana Sierra
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peyton Stearns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peyton Stearns's performance.

Solana Sierra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Solana Sierra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peyton Stearns than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peyton Stearns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Solana Sierra than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Solana Sierra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Peyton Stearns - Solana Sierra Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Stearns will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Sierra will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stearns: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sierra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Stearns (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stearns (votes: 1 - 50%). Sierra (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stearns is ranked WTA: 48. Sierra is ranked WTA: 65.

Stearns has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sierra's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sierra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stearns is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peyton Stearns
WTA Austin
01.03.26	Taylor Townsend - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Peyton Stearns - Kimberly Birrell	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Oksana Selekhmeteva - Peyton Stearns	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Kaja Juvan - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Francesca Jones - Peyton Stearns	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW
- Solana Sierra
WTA Dubai
13.02.26	Solana Sierra - Kamilla Rakhimova	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
08.02.26	Solana Sierra - Karolina Pliskova	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Solana Sierra - Alycia Parks	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Solana Sierra - Hind Al-Mudahka	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Solana Sierra - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

Peyton Stearns - Solana Sierra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide