Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Manila, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	Solana Sierra		Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.42	1.6
	2.68	1.42	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.28	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.02)	1.56 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Solana Sierra
40.1%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Solana Sierra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Solana Sierra's form might have worsened.

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Camila Osorio Serrano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Solana Sierra than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Solana Sierra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Solana Sierra - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sierra (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Osorio Serrano (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sierra is ranked WTA: 63. Osorio Serrano is ranked WTA: 84.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Osorio Serrano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Solana Sierra - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.63%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.37%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Solana Sierra
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Lanlana Tararudee - Solana Sierra	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Solana Sierra	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Joanna Garland - Solana Sierra	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Solana Sierra - Moyuka Uchijima	0:2 ✺
WTA Hobart
14.01.26	Antonia Ruzic - Solana Sierra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLL
- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Alexandra Eala	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Mai Hontama	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Ann Li - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:1 ✺
WTA Hobart
13.01.26	Emma Raducanu - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLL

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