Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Athens 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	Philip Henning		James Story

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.51	2.41
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.83)	2.35 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philip Henning
60.6%

James Story
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philip Henning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philip Henning's performance.

James Story has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and James Story might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philip Henning than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philip Henning that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Story than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Story could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Philip Henning - James Story Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Philip Henning will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Henning is ranked ATP: 360. Story is ranked ATP: 465.

Henning is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Story has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Story may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Henning will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Henning will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

James Story - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philip Henning
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Philip Henning - Pierluigi Basile	Basile P. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.11.25	Ioannis Xilas - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Benjamin Pietri - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Giulio Perego - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?WWWW
- James Story
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - James Story	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	James Story - Luca Preda	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	James Story - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	James Story - Luke Hooper	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	James Story - Anton Matusevich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWW

Philip Henning - James Story: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide