Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday


	Pierre-Hugues Herbert		Li Tu

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.97	Watch
	1.88	1.93
	1.52	2.43	Watch
			Watch
	1.78	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.52)	2.07 ↓ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
54.3%

Li Tu
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pierre-Hugues Herbert's form might have worsened.

Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Li Tu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pierre-Hugues Herbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Li Tu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Pierre Hugues Herbert - Li Tu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Herbert will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Tu will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tu: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Li Tu will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Preview

Herbert is ranked ATP: 140. Tu is ranked ATP: 163.

Herbert has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Herbert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Li Tu - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.26%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Umag
21.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
14.07.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
11.06.25	Ben Shelton - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
24.07.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Nicolas Ian Kotzen - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.25	Li Tu - Adrian Mannarino	1:3 ✺
25.06.25	Li Tu - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
23.06.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stuttgart
08.06.25	Li Tu - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Li Tu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide