Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Lyon - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lyon 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Pierre-Hugues Herbert		Maxim Mrva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.30
	1.57	2.28	Watch
	1.55	2.39	Watch
	1.60	2.30
	1.55	2.30	Watch
	1.52	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.65)	2.31 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
59.7%

Maxim Mrva
40.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pierre-Hugues Herbert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maxim Mrva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pierre Hugues Herbert - Maxim Mrva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Herbert is ranked ATP: 296., and Mrva is ranked ATP: 217..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Herbert could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Herbert is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.58%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Maxim Mrva - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.42%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Lyon
18.10.26	Jurij Rodionov - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Hugo Gaston - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
13.10.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Quinn Vandecasteele	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLL
- Maxim Mrva
ATP Lyon
18.10.26	Maxim Mrva - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Jacob Fearnley - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
15.10.26	Maxim Mrva - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Hynek Barton - Maxim Mrva	Barton H. Retired ✺
24.09.26	Izan Almazan Valiente - Maxim Mrva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLW?L

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Stefano Travaglia - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	✺

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Maxim Mrva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide