Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Pierre-Hugues Herbert		Pol Martin Tiffon

	1	2
			Watch
	2.14	1.63
	2.26	1.75
	2.3	1.56	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.16	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.97)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
42.5%

Pol Martin Tiffon
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Pol Martin Tiffon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pierre-Hugues Herbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pol Martin Tiffon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pierre Hugues Herbert - Pol Martin Tiffon Predictions

Users Predictions: Pol Martin Tiffon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Herbert is ranked ATP: 225. Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 312.

In recent matches, Herbert has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Martin Tiffon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Herbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Martin Tiffon will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.04%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Cezar Cretu - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Guy Den Ouden	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
29.03.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Patrick Brady - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL
- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Andrea Vavassori - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Nerman Fatic	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWWW

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Pol Martin Tiffon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide