Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Pierre-Hugues Herbert		Guy Den Ouden

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.46	1.6
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.34	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (1.86)	1.52 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
38.3%

Guy Den Ouden
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pierre-Hugues Herbert's form might have worsened.

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guy Den Ouden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pierre-Hugues Herbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guy Den Ouden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Pierre Hugues Herbert - Guy Den Ouden Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Herbert will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Den Ouden will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Herbert is ranked ATP: 225. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 193.

Both players are currently in poor form.

Herbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Den Ouden will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Herbert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.41%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Guy Den Ouden - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.59%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Marrakech
29.03.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Patrick Brady - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Guy Den Ouden - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Guy Den Ouden - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Franco Agamenone - Guy Den Ouden	Canceled ✺
02.03.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Guy Den Ouden - Diego Dedura-Palomero	Den Ouden G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LL?L?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Guy Den Ouden	2:1

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Guy Den Ouden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide