Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Menorca, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Pol Martin Tiffon		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	2.2	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.39	1.56	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.31	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.84)	1.57 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pol Martin Tiffon
40.9%

Lukas Neumayer
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pol Martin Tiffon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pol Martin Tiffon's form might have worsened.

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pol Martin Tiffon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Pol Martin Tiffon - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Martin Tiffon will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Neumayer will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lukas Neumayer will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 240. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 208.

Martin Tiffon in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Neumayer is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Neumayer to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Martin Tiffon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Neumayer - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
04.04.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
03.04.25	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Justin Engel - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.03.25	Alex Marti Pujolras - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Julio Cesar Porras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
04.04.25	Elmer Moller - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Lukas Neumayer - Pedro Cachin	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Felipe Virgili Berini - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Lukas Neumayer - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Henrique Rocha - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.11.24	Pol Martin Tiffon - Lukas Neumayer	1:2

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