Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Polina Kudermetova		Moyuka Uchijima

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.45	1.57
	2.44	1.5	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.31	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.32)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Kudermetova
39.4%

Moyuka Uchijima
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Kudermetova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Moyuka Uchijima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polina Kudermetova than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moyuka Uchijima than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Polina Kudermetova - Moyuka Uchijima Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kudermetova will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Uchijima will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uchijima: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Moyuka Uchijima will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kudermetova is ranked WTA: 147. Uchijima is ranked WTA: 77.

Kudermetova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Uchijima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Uchijima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Uchijima will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Uchijima will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kudermetova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Kudermetova
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Polina Kudermetova - Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Polina Kudermetova - Panna Udvardy	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Alina Charaeva - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Polina Kudermetova	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Priska Madelyn Nugroho - Polina Kudermetova	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWL?
- Moyuka Uchijima
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Moyuka Uchijima	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Moyuka Uchijima	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Maja Chwalinska	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Ada Kumru	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.07.22	Moyuka Uchijima - Polina Kudermetova	2:1

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