Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BLOIS (FRANCE), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 21 June 2023, Wednesday


	Quentin Halys		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.85
	1.41	2.99
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.82	Watch
	1.36	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.51)	2.87 ↑ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quentin Halys
67.4%

Gianluca Mager
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quentin Halys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quentin Halys's performance.

Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gianluca Mager might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quentin Halys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gianluca Mager could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Quentin Halys - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: Quentin Halys will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Mager could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Halys will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Halys won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quentin Halys
ATP Challenger
19.06.23	Quentin Halys - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
12.06.23	Quentin Halys - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.23	Quentin Halys - Guido Pella	2:3 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.23	Quentin Halys - Jeffrey John Wolf	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.23	Quentin Halys - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLL?L
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
19.06.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
15.06.23	Gianluca Mager - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
13.06.23	Gianluca Mager - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
17.05.23	Gianluca Mager - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
16.05.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.05.19	Gianluca Mager - Quentin Halys	1:2

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