Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Court Philippe-Chatrier (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	HBO Max


	Rafael Jodar		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.95	1.26
	4.42	1.25
	2.64	1.48	Watch
	4	1.25
	3.83	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.4)	1.3 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
25.5%

Alexander Zverev
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rafael Jodar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Zverev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Rafael Jodar - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Zverev (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 38.5 Games - over (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Sets - Jodar (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Zverev will win (39 of 49 users predict this - 79.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.3% – 90.88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Zverev will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Zverev (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 29. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Zverev is a strong favorite.

We predict that Zverev will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Zverev - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 71.64%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.26	Rafael Jodar - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:2 ✺
29.05.26	Alex Michelsen - Rafael Jodar	2:3 ✺
27.05.26	James Duckworth - Rafael Jodar	1:3 ✺
25.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Rafael Jodar	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
13.05.26	Rafael Jodar - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWWL
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.26	Jesper De Jong - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
29.05.26	Quentin Halys - Alexander Zverev	1:3 ✺
27.05.26	Tomas Machac - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
24.05.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.26	Luciano Darderi - Alexander Zverev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWWL

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