Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Court Simonne-Mathieu (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	12:30	HBO Max
Denmark	12:30	HBO Max
Finland	13:30	HBO Max
Montenegro	12:30	HBO Max
Netherlands	12:30	HBO Max
Norway	12:30	HBO Max
Romania	13:30	HBO Max
Serbia	12:30	HBO Max
Slovenia	12:30	HBO Max
Sweden	12:30	HBO Max


	Alex Michelsen		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	5.5	1.14	Watch
	4.9	1.18
	5.45	1.21
	4.46	1.21	Watch
	4.5	1.2
	5.05	1.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↓ (5.39)	1.19 ↑ (1.16)

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
19.3%

Rafael Jodar
80.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.7%

82.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	0%	94.4%

Alex Michelsen - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Jodar will win (votes: 17 - 94.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 83.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Sets - Jodar (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -6 Games - Jodar (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 42. Jodar is ranked ATP: 29.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jodar is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Alex Michelsen	1:3 ✺
25.05.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Alex Michelsen	0:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
21.05.26	Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Sebastian Baez - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.26	James Duckworth - Rafael Jodar	1:3 ✺
25.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Rafael Jodar	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
13.05.26	Rafael Jodar - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Rafael Jodar - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Alex Michelsen - Jiri Lehecka	✺
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Rafael Jodar	✺

Alex Michelsen - Rafael Jodar