Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Rafael Jodar		Corentin Moutet

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Rafael Jodar
72.9%

Corentin Moutet
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rafael Jodar's form might have worsened.

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corentin Moutet's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Jodar is ranked ATP: 15. Moutet is ranked ATP: 59.

Jodar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Moutet is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Moutet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jodar is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jodar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Washington
03.08.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Rafael Jodar - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Rafael Jodar - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Arthur Fils - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWW
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Marton Fucsovics - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
28.07.26	Jenson Brooksby - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
18.07.26	Joao Fonseca - Corentin Moutet	3:1 ✺
16.07.26	Cameron Norrie - Corentin Moutet	3:1 ✺
16.07.26	Corentin Moutet - Tallon Griekspoor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Lyon
21.10.26	Corentin Moutet - Felix Balshaw	✺

Rafael Jodar - Corentin Moutet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide