Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - Final

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 3
Austria	Laola1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Laola1, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.45
	1.58	2.35	Watch
	1.60	2.54
	1.6	2.4	Watch
	1.48	2.65
	1.66	2.24	Watch
	1.55	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)	2.42 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
60.6%

Rafael Jodar
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taylor Harry Fritz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rafael Jodar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	2.8%	52.8%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Fritz will win (votes: 15 - 44.1%). Jodar will win (votes: 19 - 55.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 39.2% – 72.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Jodar (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rafael Jodar will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fritz (votes: 1 - 20%). Jodar (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fritz is ranked ATP: 10. Jodar is ranked ATP: 24.

Now, both players are in good form.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fritz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Washington
01.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
08.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWL
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Washington
01.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Rafael Jodar - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Rafael Jodar - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Arthur Fils - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Rafael Jodar - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
19.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Rafael Jodar	2:0

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