Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday


	Rafael Jodar		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.40	2.90	Watch
	1.46	2.75	Watch
	1.45	3.10
	1.4	2.94	Watch
	1.43	2.95
	1.48	2.86	Watch
	1.42	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.31)	2.94 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
67.3%

Alejandro Tabilo
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Rafael Jodar - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: Rafael Jodar will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 11. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 29.

Jodar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Tabilo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jodar is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jodar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
12.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Jiri Lehecka - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
01.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Terence Atmane - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
01.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Rafael Jodar	2:0

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