Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Canberra 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Rafael Jodar		Pavle Marinkov

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Rafael Jodar
90.6%

Pavle Marinkov
9.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

87.9%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Pavle Marinkov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Jodar is ranked ATP: 168. Marinkov is ranked ATP: 565.

Marinkov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Jodar is the undisputed favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Next Gen Finals
19.12.25	Martin Landaluce - Rafael Jodar	0:3 ✺
18.12.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Rafael Jodar	3:1 ✺
17.12.25	Learner Tien - Rafael Jodar	2:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.11.25	Martin Damm - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Rafael Jodar - Johannus Monday	Monday J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWW?
- Pavle Marinkov
ATP Challenger
26.11.25	Pavle Marinkov - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Pavle Marinkov - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Pavle Marinkov - Finn Bass	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Pavle Marinkov - Kody Pearson	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Jason Kubler - Pavle Marinkov	2:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Basel
29.10.26	Valentin Vacherot - Rafael Jodar	✺

Rafael Jodar - Pavle Marinkov