Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Charlottesville, hard - Final

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Martin Damm		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.55	1.42	Watch
	2.59	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.64	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.74)	1.46 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
36.1%

Rafael Jodar
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Martin Damm - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Damm (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rafael Jodar will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Damm (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Jodar (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 191. Jodar is ranked ATP: 207.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Damm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jodar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Jodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Damm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
01.11.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Daniil Glinka - Martin Damm	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Keegan Smith - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Charles Broom - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
01.11.25	Rafael Jodar - Johannus Monday	Monday J. retired ✺
31.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Dylan Dietrich	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?WWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Martin Damm	2:1

Martin Damm - Rafael Jodar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide