Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Raphael Collignon		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.88	Watch
	1.9	1.93
	1.89	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.83	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.11)	1.88 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
50.4%

Jozef Kovalik
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raphael Collignon's performance.

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jozef Kovalik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raphael Collignon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jozef Kovalik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Raphael Collignon - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Kovalik will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collignon: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 191. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 123.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kovalik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jozef Kovalik - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.12%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
23.09.24	Raphael Collignon - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
10.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.08.24	Khumoun Sultanov - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
27.08.24	Raphael Collignon - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.08.24	Raphael Collignon - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWW
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Martin Klizan - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.24	Jozef Kovalik - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
10.09.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.08.24	Jozef Kovalik - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.24	Jozef Kovalik - Seong Chan Hong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLLL

Raphael Collignon - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide