Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: FRANCAVILLA (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday


	Raphael Collignon		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.52	2.48
	1.55	2.61
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.49	2.53	Watch
	1.44	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.73)	2.52 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
62.6%

Lorenzo Giustino
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raphael Collignon's performance.

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Giustino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raphael Collignon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Giustino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Raphael Collignon - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Giustino will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Collignon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Collignon will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Collignon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
10.05.23	Raphael Collignon - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
08.05.23	Raphael Collignon - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
25.04.23	Raphael Collignon - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Filip Misolic - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Raphael Collignon - Nicholas David Ionel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
10.05.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:1 ✺
08.05.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
01.05.23	Benjamin Lock - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
26.04.23	Jiri Vesely - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.01.23	Raphael Collignon - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0

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