Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: FRANCAVILLA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 8 May 2023, Monday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.72	2.08
	1.76	2.11
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.59	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.86)	2.14 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
56.2%

Mikhail Kukushkin
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Giustino's performance.

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mikhail Kukushkin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lorenzo Giustino - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Kukushkin will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giustino: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Giustino is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kukushkin is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giustino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Giustino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
01.05.23	Benjamin Lock - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
26.04.23	Jiri Vesely - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Otto Virtanen - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWW
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
09.04.23	Akira Santillan - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
06.04.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Mikhail Kukushkin	Lopez San Martin A. retired ✺
03.04.23	Gabriel Debru - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
29.03.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Kenny De Schepper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
20.06.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2
ATP Dubai
14.03.21	Mikhail Kukushkin - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0

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