Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Super Tennis


	Rebecca Sramkova		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.46	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.49	1.54	Watch
	2.5	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.22)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebecca Sramkova
38.1%

Jasmine Paolini
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebecca Sramkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Rebecca Sramkova - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: Jasmine Paolini will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sramkova is ranked WTA: 37. Paolini is ranked WTA: 7.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sramkova won 2.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Sramkova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paolini will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sramkova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.7:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Miami
18.03.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Rebecca Sramkova	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
05.03.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Lulu Sun	1:2 ✺
WTA Merida
28.02.25	Emiliana Arango - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWW
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Iva Jovic - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
19.02.25	Sofia Kenin - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Eva Lys - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
20.11.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
ATP Challenger
10.06.23	Rebecca Sramkova - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
WTA Roland Garros
23.05.19	Jasmine Paolini - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0
ITF Tournaments
28.09.18	Jasmine Paolini - Rebecca Sramkova	0:2
28.06.16	Jasmine Paolini - Rebecca Sramkova	1:2

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