Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Rei Sakamoto		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.39	3.05
	1.36	2.92	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)	2.9 ↓ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
67.9%

Matteo Martineau
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Rei Sakamoto aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Matteo Martineau aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rei Sakamoto - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 156. Martineau is ranked ATP: 327.

Sakamoto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Martineau has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Gianluca Cadenasso	Canceled ✺
28.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Ryan Seggerman	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Nicola Porcu	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Zachary Svajda - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 ?WWLW
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Ryan Seggerman - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Felix Balshaw - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Matteo Martineau - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Matteo Martineau - Filippo Moroni	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLW

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