The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reilly Opelka 44.2%
Alex De Minaur 55.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.4%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.5%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reilly Opelka's form might have worsened.
Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex De Minaur's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+21.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-21.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex De Minaur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.1%
0%
58.9%
Reilly Opelka - Alex De Minaur Predictions
Users Predictions:
56 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 23 - 41.1%). De Minaur will win (votes: 33 - 58.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 46% – 71.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Recent matches Opelka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
De Minaur is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
De Minaur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Opelka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.
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